Chelsea vs Burnley kick-off by 16:00 p.m. on Saturday, 11 January 2020.
Chelsea entertain Burnley having won just two of their last six league outings (33.33%), with each of those victories seeing the ‘Blues’ win one half precisely by a 2-0 scoreline. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s last five Premier League (PL) home wins have come after a level half-time score, and interestingly, four stood goalless at half-time, with 50% of that particular quartet ending 2-0.
Alongside their only slightly better win-rate as a home favourite this league season (44.44%), Chelsea’s five-game PL home form makes for poor reading (W2, L3). The final four of those matches saw the second half won 1-0 by the winner on the day.A run of nine losses in 13 league games (W4, L9) makes Burnley firm underdogs. Three successive reverses make up the latter part of those defeats, with the ‘Clarets’ losing in four of the last five individual halves of action within that barren run.
Burnley’s expected desire to keep it tight is thus very understandable, especially with the first scorer subsequently winning in Burnley’s last five PL away outings. The Clarets’ approach to road trips is perhaps further reflected by both of their prior PL away wins this season coming after a goalless first half.
Players to watch: Chelsea’s last PL home win to come after a goalless first half saw Tammy Abraham score the opener.Both Burnley’s last away victory and their most recent competitive win saw forgotten man Jay Rodriguez score the opener.
Stat attack: Chelsea’s last home match vs Burnley produced over 3.5 goals, with all arriving in the opening half-hour.Three-quarters of Burnley’s goals scored across their two prior PL away wins have arrived beyond the 80th minute.Burnley have a 50% loss rate in PL away matches entered as betting outsiders this season.
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